Caerleon vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 2
PON
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
BRI
1 - 2
PON
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
PON
2 - 0
BRI
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
PON
1 - 3
LID
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |