Caerleon vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
2 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2007 |
TON
0 - 0
PON
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ERA
1 - 2
PON
51%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
PON
4 - 0
BAR
68%
19%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PON
1 - 1
ERA
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
PON
2 - 1
DIN
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |