Caerleon vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BFC
5 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
PON
4 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 2
DIN
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 4
CAL
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 0
NWP
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NWP
1 - 2
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LID
7 - 0
NWP
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
GOY
5 - 1
NWP
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |