Caerleon vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
NWP
1 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRY
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 1
LID
34%
28%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
ERA
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NWP
11 - 1
ATG
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
NWP
1 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
TON
3 - 1
NWP
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
NWP
0 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 2
NWP
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |