Caerleon vs Newport YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 2
CRO
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 3
PON
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
LID
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAE
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
Newport YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
NWP
2 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 3
NWP
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
NWP
0 - 3
GOY
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NWP
3 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
NWP
2 - 0
ERA
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |