Caerleon vs Neath FC analysis


41	ELO	40
0%	Tilt	1.3%
30385º	General ELO ranking	30395º
145º	Country ELO ranking	155º
ELO win probability

47.6%

Caerleon

23.7%

Draw

28.6%

Neath FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%

23.7%

Draw

0-0

5%

1-1

11%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

23.7%

28.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%