Caerleon vs Llwydcoed AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ATG
2 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
DIN
2 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Llwydcoed AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
TON
5 - 0
LLW
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
TAF
0 - 7
LLW
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LLW
2 - 0
GOY
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ATG
0 - 5
LLW
13%
20%
67%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
LLW
4 - 1
ERA
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |