Caerleon vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WES
2 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
ABE
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAM
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 2
HAV
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 4
HAV
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 4
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HAV
0 - 0
TON
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |