Caerleon vs Gwynfi United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ERA
2 - 0
CAR
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRI
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 3
BFC
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BFC
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
SKE
1 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gwynfi United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BFC
0 - 2
GWY
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
GWY
3 - 3
BRI
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
GWY
2 - 3
DIN
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
GWY
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GWY
0 - 2
BAR
15%
21%
65%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -1 |