Caerleon vs Goytre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
DIN
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
GOY
5 - 2
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
GOY
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
GOY
6 - 3
PON
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GOY
3 - 2
BFC
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
GOY
15%
19%
66%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | -1 |