Caerleon vs Goytre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TON
0 - 2
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 1
CWM
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CWM
0 - 4
GOY
11%
18%
72%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
GOY
4 - 0
BRY
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
GOY
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 2
GOY
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 2
GOY
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |