Caerleon vs Goytre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
8 - 1
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAM
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
CWM
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DIN
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
GOY
11 - 0
ATG
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
GOY
1 - 2
LID
76%
16%
9%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
TON
0 - 1
GOY
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GOY
2 - 1
NWP
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 2
GOY
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |