Caerleon vs Garw Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAM
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
CWM
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DIN
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Garw Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
DIN
7 - 0
ATG
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ATG
0 - 3
CAL
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CRO
5 - 1
ATG
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
PON
7 - 1
ATG
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BRY
9 - 0
ATG
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |