Caerleon vs Ely Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
GAR
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ERA
2 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2010 |
ERA
3 - 2
CAL
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ERA
2 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ERA
0 - 4
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BFC
2 - 3
ERA
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
DIN
0 - 5
ERA
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |