Caerleon vs Ely Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NEA
6 - 1
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BFC
2 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 2
BRI
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
NWP
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
BRY
2 - 1
ERA
72%
16%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
MAE
2 - 2
ERA
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ERA
3 - 0
BFC
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ERA
1 - 1
BRI
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
CAR
5 - 0
ERA
80%
13%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |