Caerleon vs Ely Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
DIN
2 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MAE
1 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ERA
0 - 6
TON
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
LLW
4 - 1
ERA
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BFC
0 - 1
ERA
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ERA
0 - 2
GOY
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
TAF
4 - 2
ERA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |