Caerleon vs Dinas Powys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
TON
26%
25%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dinas Powys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DIN
3 - 1
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
DIN
5 - 0
BFC
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 3
BAR
21%
25%
55%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 8
ABE
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -3 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 0
CAM
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |