Caerleon vs Dinas Powys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
LID
3 - 2
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
TAF
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dinas Powys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
NEA
3 - 1
DIN
80%
14%
6%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 1
DIN
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DIN
3 - 1
PON
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LID
2 - 0
DIN
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DIN
2 - 2
TON
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |