Caerleon vs Cwmbran Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DIN
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
TAF
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
LID
1 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LID
1 - 1
CWM
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CWM
1 - 0
BRY
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 0
CWM
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CWM
1 - 3
ABE
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 0
CWM
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |