Caerleon vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
BRI
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
TON
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
WES
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GOY
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CWM
1 - 2
ABE
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PON
1 - 2
CWM
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CWM
0 - 2
GOY
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
TAF
2 - 1
CWM
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HAV
2 - 0
CWM
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |