Caerleon vs Croesyceiliog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
BRY
5 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 3
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2008 |
GOY
3 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAE
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 0
CRO
26%
23%
52%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 3
NWP
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
PON
0 - 3
CRO
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 0
TON
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 3
GOY
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |