Caerleon vs Croesyceiliog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
DIN
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
TON
0 - 2
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
BFC
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
TAF
0 - 5
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
PON
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MAE
1 - 2
CRO
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ATG
0 - 5
CRO
14%
20%
67%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
PON
0 - 1
CRO
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 7
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
LID
3 - 1
CRO
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |