Caerleon vs Croesyceiliog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 3
PON
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
LID
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAE
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLW
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CAE
3 - 1
CRO
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |