Caerleon vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
LID
3 - 2
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 2
TAF
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEA
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 4
TON
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
PON
3 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
ERA
2 - 2
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
LID
2 - 1
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |