Caerleon vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
24%
23%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATG
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 2
BRI
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GOY
2 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 2
GWY
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2005 |
TAF
0 - 1
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
GWY
1 - 3
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2005 |
ATG
0 - 3
CAR
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BFC
0 - 1
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
5 - 1
LLW
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |