Caerleon vs Cardiff Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
TON
26%
25%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
BRY
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
GOY
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 0
CWM
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRI
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
TAF
0 - 1
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |