Caerleon vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
GAR
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ERA
2 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
7 - 0
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 4
TAF
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 3
BRI
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
8 - 0
WES
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
CWM
0 - 3
CAM
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |