Caerleon vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 1
CWM
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
PON
34%
27%
40%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DIN
0 - 2
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LID
0 - 2
CAM
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
BRY
2 - 2
CAM
40%
24%
35%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
CWM
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 0
LID
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 3
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |