Caerleon vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
CWM
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DIN
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
CAL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
TAF
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 3
BRY
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
LID
0 - 0
CAM
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NWP
3 - 2
CAM
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 0
ABE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
TON
3 - 0
CAM
52%
23%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |