Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HAV
4 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
TAT
3 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
HAV
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
BRY
1 - 2
TON
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 4
BRY
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 1
BRY
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WES
1 - 1
BRY
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BRY
0 - 0
ABE
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |