Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LID
3 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
TON
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TAF
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BRY
3 - 1
ABE
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
BRY
2 - 2
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 2
BRY
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRY
2 - 0
BFC
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BRY
3 - 1
TON
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |