Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TON
0 - 2
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 2
BRY
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
BRY
0 - 3
TON
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
GOY
4 - 0
BRY
80%
14%
7%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CAL
3 - 2
BRY
35%
25%
41%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BRY
4 - 2
DIN
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |