Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2007 |
CAR
4 - 1
LID
34%
28%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
ERA
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2007 |
BRY
2 - 2
ERA
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRY
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
BRY
3 - 0
LID
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +4 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
BRY
66%
18%
15%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
3 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |