Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DIN
3 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
GOY
15%
22%
64%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GOY
0 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
BRY
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BRY
1 - 4
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
BRY
0 - 2
TON
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ABE
4 - 0
BRY
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
PON
0 - 1
BRY
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |