Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ERA
3 - 0
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
MAE
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
3 - 0
CAR
59%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bryntirion Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
BRY
3 - 3
LID
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ERA
4 - 0
BRY
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BRY
2 - 1
LLW
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
BRY
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRY
0 - 2
TAF
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |