Caerleon vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 3
BFC
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BFC
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
SKE
1 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
DIN
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
GOY
2 - 0
BRI
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 3
TON
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
LLW
1 - 2
BRI
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ATG
0 - 4
BRI
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
TON
1 - 0
BRI
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |