Caerleon vs Bridgend Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GOY
2 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 2
GWY
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ERA
2 - 0
CAR
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 2
BRI
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 3
BFC
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bridgend Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
3 - 0
BRI
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 2
BFC
55%
22%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
BRI
2 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
TAF
1 - 2
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
GWY
3 - 3
BRI
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |