Caerleon vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BFC
2 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WES
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
BRY
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LID
3 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 1
BAR
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BFC
1 - 0
BAR
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 3
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |