Caerleon vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 6
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LID
4 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
TAF
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAL
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 4
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
4 - 1
DIN
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GOY
3 - 0
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
TON
0 - 2
BAR
84%
12%
5%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
7%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | +1 |