Caerleon vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 3
SKE
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAE
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
GWY
1 - 4
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 5
TON
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
LLW
1 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 5
LID
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 2
GOY
68%
18%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 1
LLW
61%
20%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |