Caerleon vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
54.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TON
3 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
TAT
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HAV
1 - 2
AFC
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
CAM
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TAF
0 - 1
AFC
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BRY
0 - 2
AFC
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |