Caerleon vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 2
GOY
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
8 - 1
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAM
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
CWM
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
PON
0 - 1
LID
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
BRY
1 - 2
LID
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
GOY
1 - 2
LID
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
LID
0 - 2
DIN
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
LID
0 - 0
CAM
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |