Caerleon vs Aberdare Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAM
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAM
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 0
ABE
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
TON
1 - 3
ABE
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 4
TON
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 3
MON
28%
23%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |