Caerau Ely vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAE
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 4
LLA
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
PON
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAE
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TAF
3 - 7
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CWM
2 - 2
TAF
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
GOY
2 - 0
TAF
58%
20%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
TAF
2 - 4
CAM
16%
21%
64%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 2
TRE
33%
24%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |