Caerau Ely vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAE
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LLA
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PON
3 - 6
CAE
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 0
CAE
19%
18%
64%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 2
CWM
30%
21%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAF
2 - 2
LLA
45%
23%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
TAF
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 0
TAF
23%
20%
57%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAF
6 - 2
CWM
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
TRE
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |