Caerau Ely vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 0
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 0
GOY
72%
15%
12%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 2
GOY
52%
21%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
TON
1 - 4
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 0
AFC
91%
7%
2%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
TAF
0 - 2
HAV
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TAF
3 - 0
GOY
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
TAF
3 - 0
PON
78%
14%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TAF
2 - 0
LID
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
TAF
0 - 1
CAE
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |