Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
CAE
3 - 4
TRE
31%
23%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
WES
3 - 3
CAE
8%
14%
78%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 4
CAE
18%
19%
63%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
CAE
4 - 1
PEN
57%
19%
24%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 1
PEN
11%
17%
72%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
PON
0 - 0
CWM
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 0
CWM
23%
20%
57%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
PON
1 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PON
1 - 3
LLA
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TRE
4 - 0
PON
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |