Caerau Ely vs Goytre AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAE
15%
17%
69%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CWM
6 - 4
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
5 - 5
HAV
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
CAE
15%
19%
66%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
5 - 1
PEN
52%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GOY
2 - 2
GOY
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
3 - 5
GOY
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GOY
4 - 1
CAL
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CWM
2 - 1
GOY
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
GOY
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |