Caerau Ely vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
CAE
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
4 - 1
GOY
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAE
15%
17%
69%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CWM
6 - 4
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
5 - 5
HAV
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 3
TAF
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 3
GOY
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
1 - 2
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |