Caerau Ely vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAE
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
CWM
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAE
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 3
ABE
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 4
CAE
36%
24%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 6
CAM
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PON
0 - 3
CAM
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
TAF
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 3
WES
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |